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Commentary: Political sages don't always know much

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Political sages turn today's polling and past voter behavior into confident predictions about upcoming elections. That's their job. But fortune-tellers may do nearly as well, especially when the vote takes place months in the future.

Public sentiment can shift on a dime, and in any case, isn't always properly measured. You know the saying about data and computers: "Garbage in, garbage out." Even Madam Marie knew that.

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